Aristotle said, “Other things being equal, the simplest hypothesis possible is the good principle”. William Ockham said when distinguishing between two hypotheses, to “shave away” unnecessary assumptions or “cut apart” two similar conclusions, and favor the hypotheses with the fewest assumptions. Theodore Woodward said, “When you hear hoof beats, think of horses not zebras”, meaning the most obvious diagnosis is the most likely. In more recent times, Hickam’s dictum said, “A man can have as many diseases as he damn well…..